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The Chiefs defeated the 49ers in overtime to win Super Bowl LVIII.
Is it too early to wait for Super Bowl LVIX to be held in New Orleans? Never. Despite losing to the Kansas City Chiefs in Super Bowl 58 (+700 to repeat), the San Francisco 49ers are Super Bowl favorites at +500 at BetMGM. The Baltimore Ravens (+850), Buffalo Bills (+1200) and Detroit Lions (+1200) have the next best odds.
Of course, the Chiefs are still one of the favorites to win the AFC. It is assumed that general manager Brett Veach will do everything in his power to get help from Patrick Mahomes after the offense struggled for most of the regular season.
The Chiefs along with the Ravens, Bills and Bengals are the AFC favorites. The Jets are worse now (+3000) than they were at this time last season (+2500), and that was even before they acquired Aaron Rodgers from Green Bay, though rumors were already swirling That Rodgers wanted to move out of Wisconsin to New York City.
Of the teams with new head coaches, the Los Angeles Chargers (+2500) have the best chances with new coach Jim Harbaugh. According to OverTheCap.com, Los Angeles is $45 million over the salary cap for next season.
If you’re looking for teams that could make a splash in free agency, the Chargers, Titans, Patriots, Bengals and Colts have the most salary cap room right now.
Detroit (+1200) has now completed its 180th shift from lovable loser to favorite in the NFC. Dallas and Philadelphia are still at the top of their respective conferences, but there will be changes for both teams this offseason. Dallas lost defensive coordinator Dan Quinn to Washington and Philadelphia hired Kellen Moore as its new offensive coordinator and Vic Fangio to lead its defense.
The Carolina Panthers, Tennessee Titans and New England Patriots all have the worst chances of winning a Super Bowl. Next year all three teams will get new coaches.
However, betting on the favorite this far is probably not a good betting strategy. Consider that the odds for the Chiefs to make this year’s playoffs (+1000) were worse than last year’s Super Bowl win (+600).
Super Bowl 59 Odds (@BetMGM)
To help understand where these teams are headed this offseason, especially around expectations, we checked in with our beat writers on how they see the teams heading into the offseason.
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Super Bowl 2025 odds: Texans, Eagles and Falcons have the biggest upsets from last preseason
Detroit Lions +1200
The Lions have the fifth-best Super Bowl odds in 2024, and that seems about right. In their first postseason run with the fifth-youngest roster in the NFL, the Lions reached the NFC Championship Game and went 24–7. If they had played the necessary plays to win the game, they would have been expected to hoist Lombardi in Las Vegas. Instead, they will use the disappointing loss as motivation and work to get there next season. Detroit’s best talents – Penei Sewell, Amon-Ra St. Brown, Aidan Hutchinson, Sam LaPorta, Jahmir Gibbs, etc. – should only get better with age. QB Jared Goff has now taken two teams to NFC Championship games and is coming off another strong season. Offensive coordinator Ben Johnson is back for another year, having once again turned down head coaching opportunities. And the Lions will look to improve a secondary that needs an influx of talent. Detroit’s schedule and division look tough on paper, but considering all the Lions have going for them, they are in good position for another deep run in the postseason. -Colton Pouncey, Lions author
New York Jets +3000
The Jets, like any team on this list, have the ability to swing wildly in any direction. That’s the Aaron Rodgers factor. The Jets have plenty of holes to fill on offense (offensive line, wide receiver) and problems to overcome (offensive coordinator) but ultimately how far the Jets go (or not) will largely depend on Which version of Rodgers they get. He’ll be 41 this season and is coming off Achilles surgery, so it’s fair to suspect the Jets will make some noise — but they still have one of the best NFL defenses, which will remain mostly intact, and two stars. Will bring back. At Garrett Wilson and Breece Hall. -Jack Rosenblatt, Jets writer
Green Bay Packers +2500
I wonder if the Packers’ chances are that long, considering how they finished the 2023 season. After a 3–6 start, they made the playoffs, defeated the Cowboys in the wild-card round, and defeated the 49ers in the divisional round. In his first season as the full-time starting quarterback, Jordan Love showed why he could be the guy for Green Bay for more than the next decade, and most of his supporting cast, on an offense that flourished in the second half of the season, Will return in 2024. Big questions lie in the remaining two phases. Can the Packers straighten out their kicking game (pun intended), and can new defensive coordinator Jeff Hafley maximize the talent on his side of the ball in a way Joe Barry couldn’t? If Green Bay can do both, there’s no reason the Packers can’t be in contention to bring home the Lombardi Trophy. -Matt Schneidman, Packers author
For the Dolphins to be considered a serious Super Bowl contender, they will have to beat teams at their same level or better on a semi-consistent basis. This did not happen in 2023, with only one win coming in Week 16 against a team called the Dallas Cowboys. The 2024 schedule will be even more difficult, playing in the AFC South, NFC West and with the Packers outside of Miami. AFC East opponent.
Tua Tagovailoa, as of now, will be entering the final year of his rookie contract in 2024. Will Miami take care of its quarterback before Week 1? Plus, you have to wonder if the defense can come together after several injuries, especially to edge rusher, which took a toll late in the 2023 campaign. Then you have to wonder if the Dolphins are the best or even second-best team in the AFC East, with the Bills being the defending champions and Aaron Rodgers expected to take more than a handful of snaps at QB like last year’s injury-plagued season. Are ready for. -Larry Holder, NFL senior writer
You know the Texans will have one of the sexiest bets heading into the 2024 season – two top young players at premium positions with quarterback CJ Stroud and edge rusher Will Anderson. Add in rising star coach Demeco Ryans and an improved roster, and Houston has all the makings of a team ready to take the next step.
Now, after winning the AFC South, the Texans won’t have to face a bottom-tier schedule this season. So they’ll add the Chiefs, Ravens and Bills, as well as the AFC East and NFC North to their AFC South slate – while throwing a healthy NFL Draft contender, Anthony Richardson, back to the Colts. But the Texans looked strong against all players during the 2023 regular season before falling short against the Ravens in the AFC Divisional Round. I expect the Texans to improve in 2024 and for Stroud to only get better after one of the strongest rookie QB campaigns in recent memory. If it does, you’ll never know… -Holder
(Top photo: Ezra Shaw/Getty Images)
